When you have nothing else, go for the straw man

John Dickson might just be proof that, even if you have a blog on the ABC, you can still be a twat. His latest Christmas special, A fight they can't win: The irreligious assault on the historicity of Jesus, which is already too verbose just in its title alone, manages to compose an elaborate straw man which is fastidiously dismantled. Too bad its totally irrelevant to the irreligious or the religious.

Talking about the 'historicity' of Jesus to the religious is a perfect waste of time. No matter who Jesus was as a Jew from Nazaret, he has been progressively buried in layers of doctrinal sediment. Each new Biblical scholar 'discovers' Jesus 'anew', with all the awe of a kiddy opening presents from under a Christmas tree. A new revelation is entirely par for the course - it certainly guarantees a following amongst the gullible.

Talking to the irreligious about Jesus is likewise futile. Since Jesus is quite likely to have been the unremarkable son of a craftsman who 'fell into' fame, as many second rate performers do and certainly not a god, prophet or miracle worker, this line of conversation will probably elicit "Uh-huh".

Where Dickson shows his capacity for spin is in his denigration of Dawkins. If in doubt, a glorious ad hominem may cover the singular lack of argument. Supposedly, "Richard Dawkins says 'a serious historical case' can be made that 'Jesus never lived at all,'" and from this "no doubt receives applause from his followers". Of course, few of Dawkins followers are so woefully ignorant of his words as Dickson. In fact, on page 122, Dawkins does say

"IT IS EVEN POSSIBLE to mount a serious, THOUGH NOT WIDELY SUPPORTED, historical case that Jesus never lived at all, as has been done by, among others Professor G. A. Wells of the University of London in a number of books, including Did Jesus Exist? Although Jesus PROBABLY existed." (My capitalisation, for the selectively blind)

What is even more pathetic is that Dickson cherry picks this book as many Christian commentators are want to do to the Bible. If lacking an argument of substance, simply ignore the thesis of the book in preference to a selective quote that can be easily refuted (if you even quote it accurately).

The substance of the God Delusion is that belief in God is delusional - that is, it demonstrates the same characteristics as a belief as any other beliefs considered to be delusional beliefs. Dickson probably laughs at spiritualism; a seance is a magic trick. Yet up until Houdini comprehensively exposed spiritualism it was accepted as within the realms of possibility by many of the educated and scholarly. These days we might section someone who consistently insisted on the delusional belief that granny was following him around.

Some of Dawkins arguments are weak on evidence or generalise religion when a more specific analysis is necessary. However, Dawkins has shifted his posture in this regard, as is evidenced in his 'concillitory tone' in

Sex, Death And The Meaning Of Life

Dawkins has moved on, but Dickson prefers the 'straw man' of the person he presumed Dawkins once was.

But, even as an historian, Dickson manages an epic fail. Few people in history have had quite as much opinion and pure speculation written about them as Jesus. Jesus has been both an agent of a vengeful God and the Prince of Peace. He has been both a social radical and affirmation of a long tradition of law. He has been both the humble human and the miracle working superman. If you seriously think you are going to do novel or significant historical work, forget Jesus.

If amongst the 'noise' of 2 millenia of propaganda you can still get any sense of an historical person with some authenticity, then you are either a liar or magician. But the historicity of Jesus is entirely a red herring. Literary criticism is much more useful inn trying to understand Jesus than the historical process of confirming secondary sources with primary sources.

All claims about Jesus and all Jesus' claims can only be seen through a lens of interpretation. In regard to Jesus' claims about himself, letting a character in literature make a case for their own existence or character is absurd. Nobody expects to verify that Julius Caesar was a historical figure by reading in Shakespeare's Julius Caesar that he makes claims to be Julius Caesar. Such claims must be externally verified. Thus, as historians, we cannot accept Jesus' claims about himself, under any circumstances.

We can, however, construct a profile premised in his words and actions as they are recorded. All literature that speaks about an historical figure positions the audience to believe a particular set of precepts. This is a fundamental aspect of all literature. Thus, even if we have witnesses to Jesus' life, we must take into consideration that they will have an agenda in speaking about Jesus.

There is little virtue in even addressing Cathcart's stumble or Nobbs and Judge's correction or an inflated sense of the importance of your own tweets, nor the religious affiliation of an historical author, as Dickson does.  They might help you sound 'terribly scholarly' but add precisely nothing to the real debate - which version of Jesus can actually be authenticated? To this debate Dickson adds precisely nothing. This is because he has precisely nothing to say.

There is even less virtue in lame anecdotes about boxers. For Christ's sake, Dickson, can't you even make it slightly funny!

Why Eugenie is talking good sense

This is a reply to the blog: Eugenie Scott says there’s No Contrary Evidence about Evolution and Global Warming at http://www.c4id.org.uk/scott

Greetings Mr Noble. Yours was a polite and clearly written response to Eugenie's talk. However, it lacks in a few signfiicant ways. Before I reply, in the interests of full disclosure, I will confess I am an atheist, although I prefer to call my self an a-God-ist, as I am likewise an a-LochNessMonster-ist. That is, I find no particular reason to believe anything without evidence or a good reason.

First, a little defence of some of the labels Eugenie uses. While 'creationism' is often used as a derogative, I believe Eugenie's use is much more precise. The notion of an external agency to the universe that can interact with the universe is most frequently found in religion. Spiritualism does not necessarily require an external agency, so this can't be considered to be the source of this concept.

In religion, external agency is found in creation myths. Usually the agent has unnatural powers and is able to operate independent of time. Thus, a label of this external agency as creationist is very accurate. The connotation of young earth creationism with the crass right-wing evangelicalism is unfortunate and not of Eugenie's making; and history shows a clear lineage of ID from this position.

However, if we accept your proposition that ID does not suggest religious belief, then it behoves ID to declare the belief premise for its position. For example, the belief premise may be revelation. ID proponents may believe that they have recieved a special message from God. On the other hand, this revelation may simply be a hightened awareness of the natural world - a kind of 'uh-ha' moment.

Each of these has significant challenges. Special revelation has no verification mechanism, by definition. Thus, this is not belief, but belief that belief need not be verified in order to be pronounced truth. Now, such a belief system is simply incompatible with science. Science begins with the proposition that ALL belief is able to be challenged, albeit by proper means.

Challenges that are simply taking a contrary position do not constitute a challenge; a counter-thesis is not an argument nor evidence for a counter-thesis. Unfortunately, ID has frequently suggested that all counter-theses must be considered, including amongst them ID. On this ground, any suggestion (such as The Matrix - all reality is an illusory product of a super-intelligence) must be conteplated and methodically eliminated.

Since resources for winnowing the infinite number of counter-theses are few, science uses common sense to begin investigation; usually experience. This is not fool-proof but is effective. All that aside, special revelation must eliminated (from a scientific point of view) because it is contrary to science doctrine.

Which only leaves revelation through the natural world. Here, ID faces an irresolveable conundrum. If an agency external to the universe is observable via natural means, on what grounds can we claim it to be external? It must, by definition, be natural - thus, accessible to scientific investigation. If it is not observable, then its existence is entirely speculative, and we return to the point of winnowing an infinite number of guesses at why the universe exists.

Analogies are drawn in an attempt to winnow the possible theses. Human design is used to suggest extra-universal design. But why should a process observed on earth necessarily apply anywhere else, especially external to the universe? Unfortunately, the analogy pre-supposes natural processes occurring outside of nature, an impossible proposition logically.

But suppose, for open-mindedness sake, we were to test the thesis of ID - an external agency made the universe. How do you begin to test that? All tests require natural constraints, so all test results would be suspect. Thus, testing this proposition is impossible. What ID proponents rely on, then, is a fallacy of argumentation - namely, failure to disprove does not offer proof. I cannot disprove that you are an alien, therefore I must entertain the proposition that you are an alien?

The final 'bastion' for ID is 'signs of design' (that is - no test will be successful, but we can see signs, like we see footprints). This proposition suffers from a fallacy of argumentation - that of circularity. To be able to identify these signs, one must first know what to look for. Knowing what to look logically means prior knowledge  of God without the assistance of the signs. Hence, the original knowledge of God comes from another source. If that source is the signs themselves, then the argument is circular. If the source is something like a script or witness of another person, it faces the problem of revelation (described above).

The simple issue is this. Put up or shut up. If there is natural evidence to challenge elements of evolution, let us see them and use them to modify our understanding of evolution. Since not other explanations have credibility at any level, entertaining them comes only from one motivation - to keep our religious friends happy.

The terrible price of sovereignty

Sovereignty is generally understood as a country's right to determine its future and control its affairs. Defending sovereignty is a reoccurring theme of history, not just because 'sovereigns' wanted to maintain power, but because people in general like to feel they have some measure of control over their own destinies, even if that is only in checking the power of their own king, emperor or leader.

Its not general knowledge that, during the Civil War, Union General  Ulysses Grant was a prominent slave owner or that Lee, that wily general who led the 'Southern' forces to so many victories, fought for Virginia, not the CSA  (The Confederate States of America) or for maintenance of slavery, but for the state of Virginia. Mechanisation was already looming in the cotton fields and slavery may have ended quite naturally once the industrial North bought out the South.

Not many of us are aware that The American Civil War was fought over sovereignty, not slavery. It was Lincoln's resolution to keep the Union together that drove the conflict, not a difference in opinion on or his sympathy for the plight of the black population.  Although the more famous of his speeches address emancipation, his real political imperative was holding the Union together for security and economic purposes. Slavery simply provided moral high ground to convince those who wavered.

 

Virginia, once a proud colony of her majesty, after whom she was named, was foremost in adopting the notion of the United States as a bond to overthrow the British control of Virginia and as a bulwark against the looming Spanish colonies.  No-one in Virginia considered themselves a 'citizen of United States'.  Men fought for their state and military units were named by state. The establishment of West Point was about trying to integrate armies before it was about producing elite officers. The 'United States' was a pragmatic arrangement to protect state sovereignty from Great Britain.

 

This sense of state sovereignty continued into the lead up to the Civil War. Jefferson Davis asserted state sovereignty, in a speech to the Senate, as moral grounds for secession. This was no "southern" phenomena - Davis refers to the tension of many states in resolving state rights and sovereignty and the bond with other states  of a United States. For Davis, the control of slaves, not their ownership per se, was the stick that broke the secessionist back. Slaves were 'bleeding' into the North where they became an underclass of labour for Northern states (often living in worse conditions), making the South less attractive to investment. Retrieving these slaves was vital and Federal law stood in its way.

"I then said, if Massachusetts, following her through a stated line of conduct (he is referring to the nullification of a federal law on slavery), chooses to take the last step which separates her from the Union, it is her right to go, and I will neither vote one dollar nor one man to coerce her back, but will say to her, Godspeed, in memory of the kind associations which once existed between her and the other states." (A Final Adieu, Jefferson Davis, January 21, 1861)

Secession to protect state rights was a very 'American' political posture. Texas was an independent country for a fleeting moment. In a decade, it was part of four countries. States maintained militia for the express purpose of preventing the will of the Federals being forced onto a state. Fundamental to maintaining this militia was the notion of being 'ready' by allowing every citizen to own and carry a gun. (Such was the level of ownership of guns that many species became extinct through over hunting. The Eternal Frontier, Tim Flannery)

In the American psyche, the ownership of guns equates with independence and control of one's affairs, not with criminality or war. Thus, high levels of ownership are generally tolerated by most. Of course, the litany of shootings in recent years has exposed this tolerance to another imperative - the need to protect your children. This is the list for the last 6 months of 2012.

1. Newtown, CT, December 14, 2012, 20 children, 6 adults, 1 gunman
2. Chicago, IL, October 21, 2012, Two men, ages 28 and 30, were killed. A 25-year-old pregnant woman was wounded. 1 gunman
3. Brookfield, WI, October 21, 2012, Radcliffe Haughton shot and killed his estranged wife Zina Haughton and two other women and himself. 1 gunman
4. Casselberry, FL, October 18, 2012 Three women were killed and one was wounded. Gunman Bradford Baumet, who later killed himself at another location.
5. Winter Springs, FL, September 30, 2012, Multiple shooters killed two and wounded one.
6. Minneapolis, MN, September 27, 2012, Andrew Engeldinger opened fire, killing five and wounding four before killing himself.
7. Compton, CA, September 10, 2012, A still-unidentified shooter opened fire killing one and injuring two others. Gang-related.
8. Old Bridge, NJ, August 31, 2012, 23-year-old Terence Tyler shot and killed two coworkers at a Pathmark grocery store.
9. Chicago, IL, August 24, 2012, Eight people ranging in age from 14 to 20 years. Unrelated shootings bring the weekend total of August 24 to 19 people.
10. Laplace, LA, August 16, 2012, Two police deputies were killed and two were wounded in a shootout in a suburb of New Orleans
11. August 13, 2012, A 30-minute shootout near the Texas A&M University campus resulted in the deaths of a police constable, a bystander, the shooter, and the injury of four others.
12. Oak Creek, WI, August 5, 2012, Seven people were killed, including the gunman and three injured at a Sikh temple in a Milwaukee suburb.
13. Aurora, CO, July 20, 2012, Twelve people were killed and 58 were injured in Aurora, Colorado during a sold-out midnight premier of the new Batman movie "The Dark Knight Rises" when 24-year-old James Holme unloaded four weapons' full of ammunition into the unsuspecting crowd.
14. Tuscaloosa, AL, July 17, 2012, Nathan Van Wilkins stood outside of a crowded downtown bar and opened fire from two different positions early Tuesday, sending patrons running or crawling for cover. At least 17 people were hurt.
15. Chicago, IL, July 11, 2012, Four youngsters are among the latest victims caught in Chicago’s gun violence epidemic, including two middle school-aged girls.
16. Dover, DE, July 9, 2012 At a weekend soccer tournament in Delaware three people died and two were wounded.
17. Chicago, IL, July 6, 2012 Three people were shot, a 19-year-old man was shot in the calf, a 34-year-old man was shot in the back and a 24-year-old man was shot in the thigh.

(Brady Campaign)

To remove guns from the US, the whole orientation of people across the country would have to shift in a way that would be as profound a change as a majority of Australians deciding to arm themselves to fight against the government. It overturns 3 centuries of cultural narrative.

There is no doubt that many Americans would love to see gun control. They don't buy the line of the gun lobby that people not guns kill. But they have such a historical barrier to overcome that it may never happen.

Fantasy, Myth, Religion and Spin

I was fascinated to watch as the world's leading and probably most wealthy fantasy writer, Jo (JK) Rowling investigated her family heritage in the documentary series "Who do you think you are?" What separated JK Rowling from others I have watched is the juxtaposition of three traditions - the making of fantasy (I use that word 'making' deliberately, rather than 'creation', to indicate a kind of 'making' akin to 'making a sandwich'), the evolution of myth and the forensic investigation of myth.

First, I disclose that I despise Harry Potter and I have not been able to stomach more than a couple of pages of reading Harry Potter and the movies are only as interesting as the special effects. I find the characterisation thin, the plot formulaic and the settings overly romantic (in a kind of English way also found in those other famous fantasy writers, Lewis and Tolkein).

Don't get me wrong or cast me too thinly. If Harry Potter had emerged from somewhere 30 years early when I was a child, I would have gobbled it up, as I did the Narnia series and the Lord of the Rings tome. To live in a fantasy world is blessed; a childish indulgence that switches time off and takes you away from the pressing concerns of the world. We must, I fear, have fantasy to keep us sane. It is the refuge that we can no longer find in many quarters.

A fantasy character must not be too real. They must not be sordid. No addiction, no homelessness, no hopelessness. How delightfully ironic is it that Kirsten Stewart, star of Twilight, was recently sacked from a film because her 'real' life (or the life that the media spun) become too 'sordid' because she (gasp!) become someone's mistress? Heavens! How could wowser Stephanie Meyer ever approve of a character that, well, was sexually flawed?

No, authors that nuance characters to resemble real life just don't sell. They just aren't fulfilling our lust for escapist serenity; of our timeless moment with a two-dimensional world. And here I disclose again, in the interests of fairness. I spend far too much time in a two-dimensional world of Age of Empires.

But, back to someone genuinely interesting - JK Rowling. According to the documentary, she inherited a family myth of a war hero amongst her ancestors, a young man who came to England in the 19th century and made his way in world of hospitality, working his way through the ranks at the Savoy Hotel. Later, in the war, he performs acts of bravery for which he is awarded France's equivalent of the Victoria Cross.

The story of her ancestry twists and turns, but her attention is caught by a young girl from Alsace who loses her father at a young age and struggles in poverty in a large family to make her way in the world, eventually falling pregnant while working as a maid (as many maids did, too often to their masters). The characters are large, alive and compelling. At times, despite editing, JK Rowling is visibly overwhelmed and at other times exuberant. These people provide a satisfaction incomparable to Harry Potter.

Even more compelling, however, is Rowling's journey through myth. In crude terms, all myth is the embellishment of the truth of events with details that make the narrative flow, thus making it accessible and transferable. We add fantasy to experience. But myth does not suffer the 2-dimensionality of fantasy. Myth must have concrete referents, objective evidence that can be verified. No-one inherits a family myth about ancestors who lived on the moon, nor one where Texas has ceded from the US, despite both of these being credible elements of fantasy.

Rowling is surprisingly relentless and forensic in uncovering that the Louis that she has down as a war hero is actually, incredibly, a man of the same name but a different person to her forefather. This 'imposter' to her myth is certainly a war hero, but certificates prove conclusively he is not related to Rowling. Laughably, the 'war medal' that the family has carefully harboured turns out to a badge that identifies his membership of a trade union. You can see that this revelation has a kind of crushing effect on Rowling. Her spontaneous reaction (laughing) is then matched by a resolve to pursue the family myth deeper; to validate her family's memories.

Myth does this. When we discover that a cherished element of myth is quite plainly 'bullshit', our reaction is not to set it aside and move on. It gets under our skin. We are determined to separate truth and fantasy for the sake of our identity. It drives us to scientific endeavour - to uncovering, systematically, those primary historical sources which either add to or deny the narrative we have inherited.

In an unimaginable coincidence (one no novelist could conceive), Rowling's Louis, after being raised first as the illegitimate son of that maid, and leaving the family to find his way in England, living for years in England and raising a family from which he is alienated by sad circumstances, but returning in his thirties to serve in the French army in WWI, turns out to be a reluctant hero when the war came unexpectedly to a part of France defended only by 'old men', poorly trained and reserved to defend bridges. Rowling's delight at finding that her Louis is, in fact, a hero of greater standing than the 'imposter', is palpable. The family myth is validated beyond expectations.

But some curious elements of Rowling's investigation of her family myth are just as telling as this evidentiary support for the myth. Rowling is determined not to be German. Rowling is clearly fluent in French, reading it and translating from historical documents with surprising ease and fluency. Her blunt reaction when encountering an offcial document written in German is, "Oh. What's this language!", betraying a deep animosity towards anything German.

Despite the maid's surname being Schuch, there being a real possibility that she spoke German and the national identity of people of Alsace being somewhat blurry, Rowling seeks to 'ethnically cleanse' her heritage of Germans. Shades of "don't mention the war". A Prussian army marching through the village of Schuch's youth is considered sinister. Fantasy, it seems, continues to be layered upon that forensic evidence to bolster a sense of deep seated tribalism.

I confess to be entirely taken with Rowling. She is intelligent, engaging and not at all arrogant, despite her fabulous success. Her polished English accent occasionally lapses and we hear some the accent of her youth, especially in her emotional reactions. Most certainly, she is English, through and through, yet identifies so determinedly as French.

Myth can never really be 'untangled' nor properly analysed to determine what might be claimed as historical and what as gratuitous embellishment. Rowling's quest was never really going to myth-busting. Instead, the already rich mythology of the family narrative was further enriched and expanded and new, more provocative and endearing characters were added.

As humans have journeyed through space as a curious species on a lonely island in our galaxy, the trillions of narratives have been woven into the fabric of myth. No surprise, then, that religion, with its formidable arsenal of cultural mechanisms, was able to distil myth into a coherent world view by which humans could contextualise their personal narrative. As surely as the Internet and social media, this curious social animal was going to create the myth of 'the universe and everything' and this myth was going to be carried along through generations of telling and further creative embellishment.

Of course, embellishment had to serve tribal prejudice. It was not sensible to add aliens from the cosmos who came to earth to erect communication beacons. Embellishment must reinforce that others are 'baddies' and we are good. Embellishment must establish our eating practices as clean and others as dirty. Religion as systematic mythology settled into codes of conduct and became a handy mechanism for opportunistic despots to rule. In Constantine's quest to become the one emperor, the pervasive theology of One God was fortunate 'grist'.

But to dismiss myth as a kind of plague on culture or historical memory is to neglect the baby kicking and screaming in the bath water. Myth, and its aggregating mechanism, religion, creates in us a  most compelling drive for verification. As Montgomery discovered in debunking creationism in The Rocks Don't Lie, the very engagement with myth drives humans to search for objective verification. We are never properly satisfied with myth without some 'hard evidence'. Rowling's quest is an entirely human quest.

Of course, such engagement leads inevitably to scientific method as the means of verification. Science grows directly from myth. Ptolemy's precursor to the heliocentric model of the solar system, buried so comprehensively by Christendom, is most certainly resurrected by someone driven to claim an objective truth behind the story they have inherited, whether it be about stars or conquerors. As surely as myth breeds fantastic embellishment, so myth drives our deep seated desire to 'know the truth'; a truth, that Colonel Jessop reminds us in A Few Good Men, we are deeply uncomfortable with.

In the twilight years of the tradition of myth-making, people today are clinging to religion to quench their thirst for that narrative. Unfortunately, most religions carry huge embarrassing baggage of codified savagery and cruelty and breath-taking bigotry. Despite the sanitising of this baggage (keep "Thous shalt not kill" but omit "God hates fags"), it is increasingly an unwanted side-effect of maintaining a yearning for myth. In nail-clinging desperation, religions are spinning these myths into a myriad of directions.

Thus, we witness the rise and rise of clumsy paradigms driven by spin. Science and religion, cultural cohabitants, are driven into conflict by increasingly shrill voices. You must choose a side. Either you are for the war in Iraq or against. You cannot complicate nor nuance your position. The army of the Lord or the army of the secular horde. Choose now, pilgrim!

Ironically, notable atheists like Sam Harris have enlisted on the side of rank tribalism. Islam is a religion of violence, unmistakably. We should, he posits, profile people for security checks, premised on their religion. Of course, the logical extension is that every Islamic person is suspect and we have good reason, as sensible Americans, to maintain a vigilance that could well justify vigilantism and perhaps even the horror of 84 shot dead on Utoya Island.

The spin that virally infects the WWW is that the average Islamic person actually subscribes to violent jihad. Simply ignore the hundreds of millions of Muslims who daily go about their life with not much more malice than one might reserve for a mother-in-law. Spin, unlike myth, cannot afford to admit either objective investigation nor doubt about the narrative. You are either with us, or against us. You either believe or you don't. It has no positive off-shoot in driving people to science, as myth has so long provided. It plays only on the guilt of betraying one's tribe; it throws the 'traitor' starkly into relief.

We may be in awe of Julia Gillard's recent Canute-like stance against the sea of spin, but, in the end, this bravery may go unrewarded. Rowling's Louis may have stood against an overwhelming enemy and triumphed, despite personal injury, but Julia has no hope. The very viral nature of social media and the WWW has put myth, science and religion firmly into their death-throes. We may be the last of the human myth makers. We may be the last real humans.

A study in memetics (or how to Chinese whisper)

I didn't know until today that my sister had a blog. Its called Alice-Mutton and I wonder if that inadvertently describes what its all about. There certainly is some Wonderland stuff in there. One post caught my eye. Its on Global Warming.

Now I know its against the rules to criticise one's sibling, but there is a tale for the telling in this one.

Quite by reflex, the English teacher in me noticed a jarring attempt at what is called parallelism in writing. You repeat a structure using an antonym of synonym. Poets use it to great effect. Its quite compelling. "I am Australian" overuses it.

"Anthropogenic or heliocentric."

Now, if you are using the literary device properly, you say:

"Anthropogenic or heliogenic."

If you were thinking "heliocentric", you might be discussing world view of the Middle Ages.

Odd, indeed. This led me to wonder if my sister had written that at all. So, I Googled the next bit, which seemed to suggest that 8000 scientists were challenging climate change. 8000. That's a lot. And from CERN. That gives it a bit of a clout.

So the first item in the search comes up with a tasty conspiracy theory site called Red Ice Creations. Amongst its recommended sites is The Conspiracy Archive. Scroll down to the bottom of the page on Red Ice Creations. Don't laugh out loud. This is serious. The FBI is out to get you. If they don't, the United Nations will.

Back to the 8000. Of course, CERN employs a lot of scientists. How many have been involved in the CLOUD research? There they are, smiling at you, all 14 of them. So why say 8000? Oh, well, that's to get your attention. If the meme is to get traction, it has to have big numbers. But, to be fair, this is a fairly large scale international collaboration, as this CERN publication shows.

So what did they actually say? You know that someone is hiding something when they won't link to the original work, but selectively quoting instead. Its a sure sign of memetics at work. Andrew Orlowski at Red Ice Creations doesn't want you to read:

"Atmospheric aerosols exert an important influence on climate¹ through their effects on stratiform cloud albedo and lifetime² and the invigoration of convective storms³. Model calculations suggest that almost half of the global cloud condensation nuclei in the atmospheric boundary layer may originate from the nucleation of aerosols from trace condensable vapours⁴, although the sensitivity of the number of cloud condensation nuclei to changes of nucleation rate may be small^{5, 6}. Despite extensive research, fundamental questions remain about the nucleation rate of sulphuric acid particles and the mechanisms responsible, including the roles of galactic cosmic rays and other chemical species such as ammonia⁷. " (Article in Nature, Kirkby et al., Nature, 25 August 2011, my red highlight added)

Note the proper scientific wording using the appropriate modality of certainty. That's because their conclusions are tentative. As Kirby explains:

“It was a big surprise to find that aerosol formation in the lower atmosphere isn’t due to sulphuric acid, water and ammonia alone,” said Kirkby. “Now it’s vitally important to discover which additional vapours are involved, whether they are largely natural or of human origin, and how they influence clouds. This will be our next job.”

The Royal Society of Chemistry had a somewhat different conclusion to Orlowski.

"Scientists have studied in detail how human activity influences global warming, but humanity also contributes to cooling effects, for example releasing light reflecting aerosols. Kirkby says that aerosols are the biggest gap in our understanding of humanity's contribution to climate change.
'I think these are quite exciting results, it's certainly a step change paper,' says Christian Pfrang, an atmospheric aerosol specialist at the University of Reading, UK. 'What we have here is a capability of bridging the gap between laboratory experiment and field measurement in the environment. It's a unique facility which can address a number of controversial and longstanding issues.'
The CLOUD team will now try to identify which organic species are responsible for aerosol nucleation. Kirkby says they have already been conducting experiments which might answer this question and are analysing the data now. "

But, then again, they bypassed the meme. Must have been immunised against its invasion by reason and logic.

And Kirby, in another Nature press release says:

"But, Kirkby adds, those particles are far too small to serve as seeds for clouds. "At the moment, it actually says nothing about a possible cosmic-ray effect on clouds and climate, but it's a very important first step," he says."

Just for your edification, here's the CERN release. Read it and see if you think you agree with the chinese whisper propogated on my sister's blog.

Scientists modify current thinking in the face of new data. Skeptics pounce on any doubt to make it seem as if the whole theory is in doubt. This is the insidious nature of the meme.

Cheshire Cat: Oh, by the way, if you'd really like to know, he went that way.
Alice: Who did?
Cheshire Cat: The White Rabbit.
Alice: He did?
Cheshire Cat: He did what?
Alice: Went that way.
Cheshire Cat: Who did?
Alice: The White Rabbit.
Cheshire Cat: What rabbit?
Alice: But didn't you just say - I mean - Oh, dear.

Take a cold shower, Paul

Paul Howes, arguing from the secure point of personal incredulity, has suggested that the employment of foreign workers by Gina Reinhart violates every principle of common sense, let alone proper industiral relations. Although the union movement has a long history of xenophobia, this is perhaps the most ludicrous. Amongst the splutterings that somehow connected EMA with the loss of industrial employment opportunities (which Paul Howe has claimed is mostly related to the Australian dollar), Howes managed to give the union movement a fairly bad look.

It does not take a genius to realise that the Australian labour market is not the sole provider of workers for projects in Australia. Every major mining undertaking in Australia, not to mention dozens of other industries, including aviation, defence, and transport, indirectly employs overseas labour to do work for them, in the form of consultants and contractors. So, let's get over this delusion that Australian labour is sacred.

Of course, such arrangements are not ideal and, in many industries, Australians are the only practical source of labour - for example, primary education. You can't have FIFO early childhood teachers. Of course, you can have resident Australians born overseas teaching little kids, and that's just fine. Of course, everybody working in any industry deserves and should have industiral protection. Hence, the fundamnetal issue in the labour market is industrial protection. Even if you bring workers from another country, they must have the protection of proper employment agreements and awards.

If the Gina Reinharts can be demonstrated to be flaunting proper industrial relations, then this, not their choice of the country of origin of the workers, should be the grounds for a public lashing. This is what should be exicting Paul Howe. Unfortunately, he has drawn a crude line between foreign workers and Australian workers, not Gina and the rest of us. Now, when we rightly ask Gina et al to cough up their share of Australia's riches to benefit the rest of the nation, we will already have a public that thinks unions are simply selfish.

The typical reaction of most Australians to this decision is based on a confusion of issues, illustrated in this article: http://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/a/-/news/13787412/fury-as-thousands-bid-for-mining-jobs/. The other side of the story can be understood through this article: http://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/a/-/news/13776783/rinehart-mine-gets-special-employment-deal/

Of course, we must remain vigilant that the EMA doesn't become a mechanism for driving down Australian wages or a mode of exploitation of immigrant workers. But these are the real issues, not the threat to Australian workers or the country of origin of workers.

Pompous arse-ism

I've learnt from those who are most pompous in our society that the way to disparage something is simply to add "ism" on the end of its name and immediately the reader must recognise that this is a form of extremism that must be avoided and, most definitely, derided. Thus, when people overthrew the privileged class who were milking them of their very lifeblood, this was not a revolution against injustice, but simply "communism".  This single word could then take on a myriad of negative connotations and the work of the reactionaries became so much easier.

Not to be outdone, I am proposing a new movement in intellectual circles called "pompous arseism". Since this is too long, I'll simply abbreviate this to "arseism", since those subscribing to this movement eventually spend copious amounts of time gazing up their own arses.

Arse-ists are generally philosophers, but more often philosophisers, engaging in philosophy not so much to develop a coherent way of thinking about difficult topics, but to simply keep some topics from ever becoming so mundane and pedestrian that the common man might understand.

The Chief Most Holy Bishop of Arse-ism is Alvin Plantinga. Why he isn't more frequently referred to by his proper title is a mystery to me - being a professor of philosophy seems, well, so ordinary. Plantinga, in tones only achievable in a very large cathedral, declares war on Dawkins for daring to mention God in the title of his book without proper authorisation. Dawkins, he helpfully notes, is a biologist and therefore ought to just keep his nose out of philosophising. (http://www.abc.net.au/religion/articles/2012/04/12/3475939.htm)

Where I might have criticised The God Delusion for its singular lack of evidence that religion really does anything except provide some manner of coherence to social, cultural and psychological behaviours - its a long shot to start counting it as a causal agent in behaviour - Plantinga's blood boils because Dawkins supposedly belongs to the opposition Church of the Great Naturalism. There is no-one quite so pompous as a theist defending his God against the idolater.

Suppose I took our friend the CMHB Plantinga to a seance. As we sit there listening to the silly knocking, I can imagine a kind of smug self-confidence coming over his face. At the end of the seance, he will reflect that the great Harry Houdini long ago debunked this nonsense. His assurance that all those spooky events observed had natural explanations will make you believe, just for a moment, that he has adopted that philosophical posture of believing, first and foremost, that events have natural explanations. It is, after all, a perfectly human posture.

However, later, when we stand at the bedside of his friend who is dying of cancer, he will be tempted to participate in 'praying over' this friend, despite his almost certain knowledge that the natural qualities of the drugs administered by the palliative care staff will do their work and provide real comfort at a very chemical level.

But, despite this heavy subscription to naturalism, the CMHB will later write of the curse of "naturalism" spreading rife throughout the world like a vile plague. All in defense of his stature amongst his sub-cultural religious group. It is a breath-taking kind of translation that he manages, but not uncommon.

Not uncommon also, is the tendency, as one lambasts the 'illogicality' of the opposition, to lapse into pompous arse-ism. Its not really necessary to relate anything back to the real values you live by, only to pontificate about the real meaning of everything. Thence to "The naturalism that Dawkins embraces, furthermore, in addition to its intrinsic unloveliness and its dispiriting conclusions about human beings and their place in the universe, is in deep self-referential trouble. There is no reason to believe it; and there is excellent reason to reject it." First class arse-ism.

Of course, you can only be that pompous if you have already dug yourself a large enough hole in which to fit it. Dawkins is derided for failing first year philosophy. Oh dear. The one sentence version of Plantinga's hole is: "If the brain is evolved, and the brain is what we do our believing with, then, as is observed with those who believe in delusions like God, the brain is capable of delusion, then it certainly is capable of the atheist delusion, which makes it untrustworthy and therefore not a good arbiter of the truth and therefore believing in God or atheism is pretty much roulette and there, I win."

Of course, if you say stupid things fast enough they sound convincing. But, for the statement above to have any kind of sense, you have to suppose, from the outset, that there is a truth that hovers outside human consciousness in the universe somewhere. (So that we can come to the conclusion that the brain is pretty hopeless at getting to that truth) Of course, this is a fine premise, except Plantinga and others want to start making categorical statements about this truth. Apparently, it is inherently natural to believe that this truth is owned, established and revealed by God. Why?

Its the Philosophy 101 conundrum. If a stone didn't make those ripples in the water, what did? Well, just about anything is the answer. In fact, the number of possibilities approaches infinity. Because, in practical terms, we do not have any other mechanism for generating a short-list, we use probability. Probability, not premised in experimental observation, but based on our experience of what is likely. Yes, we employ that unreliable brain to do that clever guesswork. Later, we employ that secure process called science to verify this, but let's not go there.

Now, Dawkins, in a measured British kind of way, is very patient with his short-listing, giving necessary complexity as the grounds for rejecting a supernatural (revealed) explanation for a natural (observed) explanation for complexity, at least in the world of living creatures. Now, regardless of whether that argument can be generalised to the universe (maybe something as simple as my anus created the laws of physics) and setting aside the very real problem that the complexity of God calls for an explanation in itself, we (the unwashed masses) need never allow supernatural explanations to get to the short-list.

In the Dawkins taxonomy, I am a 7 out of 7 atheist. This places me is the extremist category and thus, I am almost certainly about to blow up your house. But stay calm. It is our duty, as humans, to reject spin wherever we find it. It is a political duty, not a scientific one. It is our political duty to stop stupid ideas becoming generally accepted such that our society is in danger.

Consider the idiots who live hippy lives in and around Byron Bay who we stupidly allow the indulgence of not immunising against preventable diseases. In the year where India may finally see the last case of polio, in a dreadful irony, Australia may become the place where it re-emerges. Who knows when some un-immunised hippy may trek around some country in which eradication has not been total and then returns to a clutch of un-immunised hippy friends. No, its not science fiction.

The stupid, dangerous idea that immunisation causes conditions such as autism should have been rejected by those whose duty it is to politically protect our society. In a democracy, that is us. We all have a duty to take stupid ideas and reject them in the short-list. There are a hundred reasons why that duty has not been exercised in relation to theism, most of them to do with the insidious integration of religion into every corner of our society and psyche.

But let us return to the Chief Most Holy Bishop of Arse-ism. What is our duty? We need to look beyond his languid, pleasing voice (he writes so clearly and so well) from the pulpit and start to reject his ideas for good reason - they just don't stack up (the layman's way of saying the probability is so remote as to be considered zero).

The Goldilocks hypothesis is an example of where clear thought can just blitz waffley wankerism. The notion that the fine tuning of the constants in the universe incorporated in the laws of physics are 'just so' and incredulously 'just so', since a tiny variation would arrive at another universe, points to someone tuning the universe, is just plain stupid. I pick up a pack of cards. I deal them one by one. Out comes three Aces in a row. Of course, the standard "these were poorly shuffled" is the 'golden oldie' of excuses for playing badly, but, in reality, most people accept that that's just how the cards fell. No-one snuck in during a break in the dealing and set up the cards. They just fell out that way.

A mathematician will do the maths to give you a sense of the incredible odds against the way that these 52 cards 'fell out'. So infinitesimal is the chance of that order of card emerging that we should find it unbelievable. But we don't. Why? Because we accept a fundamental principle of naturalism that some things just 'fall out that way'. But not in a weird way. We do not often see the 23 of hearts emerge, nor the Ace of Pigs Bottoms. Certain constants are there and they are, well, just there. Yes, you can philosophise all you like about how convenient it is that no Pigs Bottoms and numbers in the 20s emerge out of the pack, but in the end, you are just spouting so much pompous arse-ism.

I feel I must leave you with the master of pompous arse-ism, Conor Cunningham. If you ever really get to the bottom of what this actually means, send me a postcard.

"In other words, persons naturalize nature, which is to say they actualize nature. They reveal nature to itself, doing so in all its forms, colours and structures, for without them all is dark, or at least shadow. Thus they do not flee nature, as do the philosophical naturalists who destroy all that is natural." (http://www.abc.net.au/religion/articles/2012/05/22/3508607.htm)